HIV prevalence and awareness among adults presenting for enrolment into a study of people at risk for HIV in Kisumu County, Western Kenya.

INTRODUCTION: Despite declines in new HIV diagnoses both globally and in Kenya, parts of Western Kenya still report high HIV prevalence and incidence. We evaluated HIV prevalence to inform the development of policies for strategic and targeted HIV prevention interventions. METHODS: Adult participants aged 18-35 years were recruited in Kisumu County and screened for HIV for a prospective HIV incidence cohort. Questionnaires assessed HIV-associated risk behaviors. Participants who tested positive for HIV were disaggregated into groups based on prior knowledge of their HIV status: previously-diagnosed and newly-diagnosed. In separate analyses by prior knowledge, robust Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors potentially associated with a positive HIV test in each group, as compared to participants without HIV. RESULTS: Of 1059 participants tested for HIV, 196 (18.5%) had a positive HIV test. Among PLWH, 78 (39.8%) were newly diagnosed with HIV at screening. After adjusting for other variables, previously-diagnosed HIV was more common among females than males (PR 2.70, 95%CI 1.69-4.28), but there was no observed sex difference in newly-diagnosed HIV prevalence (PR 1.05, 95%CI 0.65-1.69). Previously-diagnosed HIV was also more common among people reporting consistent use of condoms with primary sexual partners as compared to inconsistent condom use (PR 3.19, 95%CI 2.09-4.86), but newly-diagnosed HIV was not associated with such a difference between consistent and inconsistent condom use (PR 0.73, 95%CI 0.25-2.10). CONCLUSION: Prevalence of newly-diagnosed HIV was high, at approximately 8% of participants, and not statistically different between genders, highlighting the need for improved HIV case finding regardless of sex. The higher prevalence of previously-diagnosed HIV in female participants may reflect higher rates of HIV testing through more encounters with the healthcare system. Higher prevalence of consistent condom use amongst those previously-diagnosed suggests behavioral change to reduce HIV transmission, a potential benefit of policies to facilitate earlier HIV diagnosis.

Early sexual debut is associated with drug use and decreased educational attainment among males and females in Kisumu County, Kenya.

Differing global sociocultural contexts of sexual relationships influence age at first sexual intercourse with potentially long-lasting region-specific effects such as increased risk of contracting HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs). In these cross-sectional analyses of data from the screening and enrollment visits for an HIV incidence study in Kisumu County, Kenya, we evaluated factors associated with having experienced an early sexual debut (ESD) among males and females aged 18-35 years. Clinical evaluation was performed and sexual behaviors were assessed via questionnaire. ESD was defined as self-reported age 15 years or younger at first sexual intercourse. Robust Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) for factors associated with ESD. Of 1057 participants, 542 (51.3%) were female. Participants' median age at study screening was 25 years (interquartile range [IQR]: 22-29), and at sexual debut was 16 years (IQR: 14-17). Five hundred and four participants (47.7%) reported ESD. ESD was less common among females (PR 0.78, CI 0.67-0.90) and participants with more than primary education (PR 0.56, CI 0.47-0.66). ESD was more common in participants with a history of drug use (PR 1.28, CI 1.10-1.49). Drug use removed the protective effect of education (some secondary education or less, no drug use: PR 0.72, CI 0.61-0.85; some secondary education or less, drug use: PR 0.94, CI 0.74-1.18). ESD was common in our study and associated with lower educational attainment and increased likelihood of drug use. Interventions are needed early in life, well before 15 years of age, to encourage engagement in schooling and prevent drug use. Comprehensive sexual education and interventions to prevent drug use may be beneficial before the age of 15 years.

Early sexual debut can be defined as first sexual intercourse at or before 15 years of age. There are many social and cultural factors that influence the age of sexual debut. People who start having sex early in life may exhibit behaviors that increase risk for HIV and other sexually transmitted infections. We conducted a study of men and women aged 18­35 years in Kisumu County, Kenya, which included documentation of medical history, physical examination, laboratory tests, and a questionnaire to assess sexual behaviors. Among the 1057 people studied, the average age of sexual debut was 16.0 years for females and 15.4 years for males. A total of 504 (47.7%) participants reported early sexual debut. The data showed that early sexual debut was less common in females and in participants with more years of education. Early sexual debut was more common in participants with a history of drug use. The findings suggest that interventions to prevent early sexual debut might be improved if they focus on educational attainment and prevention of drug use.

Achieving the third 95 in sub-Saharan Africa: application of machine learning approaches to predict viral failure.

OBJECTIVE: Viral failure in people with HIV (PWH) may be influenced by multiple sociobehavioral, clinical, and context-specific factors, and supervised learning approaches may identify novel predictors. We compared the performance of two supervised learning algorithms to predict viral failure in four African countries. DESIGN: Cohort study. METHODS: The African Cohort Study is an ongoing, longitudinal cohort enrolling PWH at 12 sites in Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, and Nigeria. Participants underwent physical examination, medical history-taking, medical record extraction, sociobehavioral interviews, and laboratory testing. In cross-sectional analyses of enrollment data, viral failure was defined as a viral load at least 1000 copies/ml among participants on antiretroviral therapy (ART) for at least 6 months. We compared the performance of lasso-type regularized regression and random forests by calculating area under the curve (AUC) and used each to identify factors associated with viral failure; 94 explanatory variables were considered. RESULTS: Between January 2013 and December 2020, 2941 PWH were enrolled, 1602 had been on antiretroviral therapy (ART) for at least 6 months, and 1571 participants with complete case data were included. At enrollment, 190 (12.0%) had viral failure. The lasso regression model was slightly superior to the random forest in its ability to identify PWH with viral failure (AUC: 0.82 vs. 0.75). Both models identified CD4 + count, ART regimen, age, self-reported ART adherence and duration on ART as important factors associated with viral failure. CONCLUSION: These findings corroborate existing literature primarily based on hypothesis-testing statistical approaches and help to generate questions for future investigations that may impact viral failure.

Impact of weight gain with dolutegravir on antiretroviral adherence and viral suppression in four African countries.

OBJECTIVE: We hypothesized that total body weight (TBW) gain after switching antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate/lamivudine/dolutegravir (TLD) may negatively impact ART adherence and viral load (VL) and therefore sought to examine these associations. METHODS: The ongoing African Cohort Study (AFRICOS) enrols people with HIV at 12 facilities in Kenya, Nigeria, Tanzania and Uganda supported by The US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief. Among ART-experienced participants who switched to TLD, we used multivariable multinomial logistic regression to examine associations between pre-/post-TLD changes in percentage TBW (≥5% gain, <5% change, ≥5% loss) and changes in self-reported ART adherence (0, 1-2, ≥3 days missed doses in past 30 days) and VL [(<50 copies/mL (undetectable), 50-999 copies/mL (detectable, but suppressed), ≥1000 copies/mL (unsuppressed)]. RESULTS: Among 1508 participants, median time from starting TLD to follow-up was 9 months (interquartile range: 7-11). Overall, 438 (29.1%) participants experienced a TBW gain ≥5%, which was more common among females than among males (32.2% vs 25.2%, p = 0.005) and participants switching from efavirenz [32.0% vs nevirapine (19.9%) and boosted protease inhibitor (20.0%); p < 0.001]. Compared with a TBW change <5% [950 (63.0%) participants], TBW gain ≥5% was not significantly associated with more days with missed ART doses [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.77, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.48-1.23] or VL becoming detectable and/or unsuppressed (aOR = 0.69, 95% CI: 0.41-1.16). CONCLUSIONS: Although a substantial proportion of participants experienced weight gain after switching to TLD, we did not identify a significant impact on adherence or virological outcomes.

Perinatal Depressive Symptoms and Viral Non-suppression Among a Prospective Cohort of Pregnant Women Living with HIV in Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania.

Depression is common during pregnancy and is associated with reduced adherence to HIV-related care, though little is known about perinatal trajectories of depression and viral suppression among women living with HIV (WLHV) in sub-Saharan Africa. We sought to assess any association between perinatal depressive symptoms and viral non-suppression among WLWH. Depressive symptomatology and viral load data were collected every 6 months from WLWH enrolled in the African Cohort Study (AFRICOS; January 2013-February 2020). Generalized estimating equations modeled associations between depressive symptoms [Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression (CES-D) ≥ 16] and viral non-suppression. Of 1722 WLWH, 248 (14.4%) had at least one pregnancy (291 total) and for 61 pregnancies (21.0%), women reported depressive symptoms (13.4% pre-conception, 7.6% pregnancy, 5.5% one-year postpartum). Depressive symptomatology was associated with increased odds of viral non-suppression (aOR 2.2; 95% CI 1.2-4.0, p = 0.011). Identification and treatment of depression among women with HIV may improve HIV outcomes for mothers.

Adverse effects of Lugol's iodine: Heart failure in a patient with subcutaneous phycomycosis from a resource-limited setting.

Subcutaneous phycomycosis becomes a chronic, debilitating condition if left untreated. Treatment includes oral antifungal therapy, though oral potassium iodide has been used in resource-limited settings. Lugol's iodine has been an effective substitute, but little is known about its safety. We report a case of subcutaneous phycomycosis complicated by heart failure during treatment with Lugol's iodine. We review subcutaneous phycomycosis, iodine-mediated cardiotoxicity, as well as social determinants of health relevant to our case, suggesting that Lugol's iodine may only be an effective treatment with proper dosing and long-term monitoring.

Assessment of tuberculosis disease activity in people infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and living with HIV: A longitudinal cohort study.

Background: Early detection of asymptomatic incipient tuberculosis (TB) could improve clinical outcomes and reduce the spread of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) infection, particularly in HIV endemic settings. This study assessed TB disease activity over 5 years in people living with HIV co-infected with MTB using a surrogate biomarker. Methods: Between Jan 1, 2013 and Aug 31, 2018, 2014 people living with HIV were screened annually for active TB using the Xpert MTB/RIF diagnostic assay in 11 clinics in Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and Nigeria. Longitudinal blood mononuclear cell samples from 46 selected patients with active and recurrent tuberculosis, latent infection, or incipient TB were further analysed for MTB-specific T-cell activation (defined by CD38 expression) as a well-defined surrogate marker for TB disease covering a total of 1758 person-months. Findings: MTB-specific CD4 T-cell activation differentiated active, Xpert MTB/RIF positive TB from latent TB with a sensitivity and specificity of 86% and was reduced upon TB treatment initiation. Activated MTB-specific T cells were present in 63% and 23% of incipient TB cases 6 and 12 months before diagnosis of active disease, respectively. Transient increases of MTB-specific T cell activation were also observed in individuals with latent infection, while persistent activation was a hallmark of recurrent TB after the end of treatment. Interpretation: In most cases, progression to active TB disease started 6-12 months before diagnosis by clinical symptoms and sputum occurrence of bacilli. Blood biomarkers could facilitate early detection of incipient TB, improve clinical outcomes, and reduce the transmission of MTB. Funding: This work was supported by the President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief via a cooperative agreement between the Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc., and the U.S. Department of Defense [W81XWH-11-2-0174, W81XWH-18-2-0040] and by the Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (BmBF) through funding of the Deutsches Zentrum für Infektionsforschung (DZIF, TTU-TB personalized medicine TTU 02_813).

Assessing the safety, impact and effectiveness of RTS,S/AS01E malaria vaccine following its introduction in three sub-Saharan African countries: methodological approaches and study set-up.

BACKGROUND: Following a 30-year development process, RTS,S/AS01E (GSK, Belgium) is the first malaria vaccine to reach Phase IV assessments. The World Health Organization-commissioned Malaria Vaccine Implementation Programme (MVIP) is coordinating the delivery of RTS,S/AS01E through routine national immunization programmes in areas of 3 countries in sub-Saharan Africa. The first doses were given in the participating MVIP areas in Malawi on 23 April, Ghana on 30 April, and Kenya on 13 September 2019. The countries participating in the MVIP have little or no baseline incidence data on rare diseases, some of which may be associated with immunization, a deficit that could compromise the interpretation of possible adverse events reported following the introduction of a new vaccine in the paediatric population. Further, effects of vaccination on malaria transmission, existing malaria control strategies, and possible vaccine-mediated selective pressure on Plasmodium falciparum variants, could also impact long-term malaria control. To address this data gap and as part of its post-approval commitments, GSK has developed a post-approval plan comprising of 4 complementary Phase IV studies that will evaluate safety, effectiveness and impact of RTS,S/AS01E through active participant follow-up in the context of its real-life implementation. METHODS: EPI-MAL-002 (NCT02374450) is a pre-implementation safety surveillance study that is establishing the background incidence rates of protocol-defined adverse events of special interest. EPI-MAL-003 (NCT03855995) is an identically designed post-implementation safety and vaccine impact study. EPI-MAL-005 (NCT02251704) is a cross-sectional pre- and post-implementation study to measure malaria transmission intensity and monitor the use of other malaria control interventions in the study areas, and EPI-MAL-010 (EUPAS42948) will evaluate the P. falciparum genetic diversity in the periods before and after vaccine implementation. CONCLUSION: GSK's post-approval plan has been designed to address important knowledge gaps in RTS,S/AS01E vaccine safety, effectiveness and impact. The studies are currently being conducted in the MVIP areas. Their implementation has provided opportunities and posed challenges linked to conducting large studies in regions where healthcare infrastructure is limited. The results from these studies will support ongoing evaluation of RTS,S/AS01E's benefit-risk and inform decision-making for its potential wider implementation across sub-Saharan Africa.

Prevalence and Correlates of Viral Load Suppression and Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Drug Resistance Among Children and Adolescents in South Rift Valley and Kisumu, Kenya.

BACKGROUND: Children and adolescents living with HIV (CALHIV) face unique challenges, including poorer treatment outcomes, risk for drug-resistance mutations (HIVDRMs), and limited drug formulations. We estimated viral suppression (VS) prevalence and evaluated predictors of VS and HIVDRMs in Kenya. METHODS: From 2018-2020, CALHIV 1-19 years on antiretroviral therapy (ART) >6 months were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. Participants underwent viral load (VL) testing; those with VL ≥1000 copies/mL had HIVDRM testing. Sociodemographic questionnaires and medical record abstraction were completed. VS prevalence (VL <1000 copies/mL) was estimated; robust Poisson regression models were used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% CIs for associations between potential predictors of VS. RESULTS: Nine hundred and sixty-nine participants were enrolled. VS prevalence was .80 (95% CI: .78-.83). Being on ART >24 months (adjusted PR [aPR]: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.06-1.41), an integrase strand transfer inhibitor-containing regimen (1.13; 1.02-1.26), and attending a level 3 health facility (1.23; 1.11-1.36) were associated with VS. Missing ≥3 doses of ART in the past month (aPR: .73; 95% CI: .58-.92), having a viremic mother with HIV (.72; .53-.98), and having 3-7 (.90; .83-.97), 8-13 (.89; .82-.97), or ≥14 (.84; .77-.92) compared with <2 adherence counseling referrals were inversely associated with VS. A high proportion (n = 119, 81.5%) of unsuppressed participants had evidence of any major HIVDRM. CONCLUSIONS: HIV treatment programs should target interventions for pediatric patients at risk for treatment failure-namely, those with a caregiver with failed VS and those struggling with adherence.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 antibody prevalence in people with and without HIV in rural Western Kenya, January to March 2020.

Among 582 participants in Western Kenya who were retrospectively tested from January through March 2020, 19 (3.3%) had detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. The prevalence of detectable SARS-CoV-2 antibodies was similar between participants with and without HIV (3.1% vs. 4%, P = 0.68). One participant reported a cough in the preceding week but others denied symptoms. These may represent cross-reactivity or asymptomatic infections that predated the first reported COVID-19 cases in Kenya.

Hepatitis and tuberculosis testing are much less common than HIV testing among adults in Kisumu, Kenya: results from a cross-sectional assessment.

BACKGROUND: Kenya has a high burden of HIV, viral hepatitis, and tuberculosis. Screening is necessary for early diagnosis and treatment, which reduces morbidity and mortality across all three illnesses. We evaluated testing uptake for HIV, viral hepatitis, and tuberculosis in Kisumu, Kenya. METHODS: Cross-sectional data from adults aged 18-35 years who enrolled in a prospective HIV incidence cohort study from February 2017 to May 2018 were analyzed. A questionnaire was administered to each participant at screening for study eligibility to collect behavioral characteristics and to assess prior testing practices. Among participants without a history of previously-diagnosed HIV, multivariable robust Poisson regression was used to estimate prevalence ratios (PRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for factors potentially associated with HIV testing in the 12 months prior to enrollment. A hierarchical model was used to test for differential access to testing due to spatial location. RESULTS: Of 671 participants, 52 (7.7%) were living with HIV, 308 (45.9%) were female, and the median age was 24 (interquartile range 21-28) years. Among 651 (97.0%) who had ever been tested for HIV, 400 (61.2%) reported HIV testing in the past 6 months, 129 (19.7%) in the past 6-12 months, and 125 (19.1%) more than one year prior to enrollment. Any prior testing for viral hepatitis was reported by 8 (1.2%) participants and for tuberculosis by 51 (7.6%). In unadjusted models, HIV testing in the past year was more common among females (PR 1.08 [95% CI 1.01, 1.17]) and participants with secondary education or higher (PR 1.10 [95% CI 1.02, 1.19]). In the multivariable model, only secondary education or higher was associated with recent HIV testing (adjusted PR 1.10 [95% CI 1.02, 1.20]). Hierarchical models showed no geographic differences in HIV testing across Kisumu subcounties. CONCLUSIONS: Prior HIV testing was common among study participants and most had been tested within the past year but testing for tuberculosis and viral hepatitis was far less common. HIV testing gaps exist for males and those with lower levels of education. HIV testing infrastructure could be leveraged to increase access to testing for other endemic infectious diseases.

Clinical laboratory reference values in adults in Kisumu County, Western Kenya; hematology, chemistry and CD4.

BACKGROUND: Clinical laboratory reference intervals (RIs) are essential for diagnosing and managing patients in routine clinical care as well as establishing eligibility criteria and defining adverse events in clinical trials, but may vary by age, gender, genetics, nutrition and geographic location. It is, therefore, critical to establish region-specific reference values in order to inform clinical decision-making. METHODS: We analyzed data from a prospective observational HIV incidence cohort study in Kombewa, Kenya. Study participants were healthy males and females, aged 18-35 years, without HIV. Median and 95% reference values (2.5th percentile to 97.5th percentile) were calculated for laboratory parameters including hematology, chemistry studies, and CD4 T cell count. Standard Deviation Ratios (SDR) and Bias Ratios (BR) are presented as measures of effect magnitude. Findings were compared with those from the United States and other Kenyan studies. RESULTS: A total of 299 participants were analyzed with a median age of 24 years (interquartile range: 21-28). Ratio of males to females was 0.9:1. Hemoglobin range (2.5th-97.5th percentiles) was 12.0-17.9 g/dL and 9.5-15.3 g/dL in men and women respectively. In the cohort, MCV range was 59-95fL, WBC 3.7-9.2×103/µL, and platelet 154-401×103/µL. Chemistry values were higher in males; the creatinine RI was 59-103 µmol/L in males vs. 46-76 µmol/L in females (BRUL>.3); and the alanine transferase range was 8.8-45.3 U/L in males vs. 7.5-36.8 U/L in females (SDR>.3). The overall CD4 T cell count RI was 491-1381 cells/µL. Some parameters including hemoglobin, neutrophil, creatinine and ALT varied with that from prior studies in Kenya and the US. CONCLUSION: This study not only provides clinical reference intervals for a population in Kisumu County but also highlights the variations in comparable settings, accentuating the requirement for region-specific reference values to improve patient care, scientific validity, and quality of clinical trials in Africa.

False reactive HIV-1 diagnostic test results in an individual from Kenya on multiple testing platforms-A case report.

BACKGROUND: Rapid diagnostic tests (RDT) are routinely used in screening for HIV infection. More complex diagnostic algorithms incorporating fourth-generation screening and confirmatory HIV-1/HIV-2 differentiation immunoassays (IA) may be used to confirm HIV infection. Co-infections and autoimmune diseases may lead to falsely reactive HIV diagnostic test results. CASE PRESENTATION: A Kenyan man with asymptomatic schistosomiasis and low risk factors for HIV infection demonstrated an inconsistent and discordant pattern of reactivity on HIV RDT, repeated reactivity on fourth-generation IA and positive at a single time-point for HIV-1 on the Geenius HIV1/HIV2 confirmatory assay during the course of a prospective cohort study with HIV repeat testing. The individual initiated antiretroviral therapy following HIV diagnosis. However, his bi-annual behavioral questionnaire suggested low-risk factors for infection. Supplementary confirmatory serologic and nucleic acid tests were performed and gave discordant results. The participant was determined to be HIV uninfected using cell-associated HIV-1 DNA/RNA testing and antiretroviral therapy was discontinued. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS: Sole reliance on diagnostic test results may result in misdiagnosis of HIV infection, social harm and potential antiretroviral induced drug toxicity. Interpretation of HIV test results should incorporate multiple parameters.

Estimating Annual Fluctuations in Malaria Transmission Intensity and in the Use of Malaria Control Interventions in Five Sub-Saharan African Countries.

RTS,S/AS01E malaria vaccine safety, effectiveness, and impact will be assessed in pre- and post-vaccine introduction studies, comparing the occurrence of malaria cases and adverse events in vaccinated versus unvaccinated children. Because those comparisons may be confounded by potential year-to-year fluctuations in malaria transmission intensity and malaria control intervention usage, the latter should be carefully monitored to adequately adjust the analyses. This observational cross-sectional study is assessing Plasmodium falciparum parasite prevalence (PfPR) and malaria control intervention usage over nine annual surveys performed at peak parasite transmission. Plasmodium falciparum parasite prevalence was measured by microscopy and nucleic acid amplification test (quantitative PCR) in parallel in all participants, and defined as the proportion of infected participants among participants tested. Results of surveys 1 (S1) and 2 (S2), conducted in five sub-Saharan African countries, including some participating in the Malaria Vaccine Implementation Programme (MVIP), are reported herein; 4,208 and 4,199 children were, respectively, included in the analyses. Plasmodium falciparum parasite prevalence estimated using microscopy varied between study sites in both surveys, with the lowest prevalence in Senegalese sites and the highest in Burkina Faso. In sites located in the MVIP areas (Kintampo and Kombewa), PfPR in children aged 6 months to 4 years ranged from 24.8% to 27.3%, depending on the study site and the survey. Overall, 89.5% and 86.4% of children used a bednet in S1 and S2, of whom 68.7% and 77.9% used impregnated bednets. No major difference was observed between the two surveys in terms of PfPR or use of malaria control interventions.

Long-term incidence of severe malaria following RTS,S/AS01 vaccination in children and infants in Africa: an open-label 3-year extension study of a phase 3 randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Results from a previous phase 3 study showed efficacy of the RTS,S/AS01 vaccine against severe and clinical malaria in children (in 11 sites in Africa) during a 3-4-year follow-up. We aimed to investigate malaria incidence up to 7 years postvaccination in three of the sites of the initial study. METHODS: In the initial phase 3 study, infants aged 6-12 weeks and children aged 5-17 months were randomly assigned (1:1:1) to receive four RTS,S/AS01 doses (four-dose group), three RTS,S/AS01 doses and a comparator dose (three-dose group), or four comparator doses (control group). In this open-label extension study in Korogwe (Tanzania), Kombewa (Kenya), and Nanoro (Burkina Faso), we assessed severe malaria incidences as the primary outcome for 3 additional years (January, 2014, to December, 2016), up to 6 years (younger children) or 7 years (older children) postprimary vaccination in the modified intention-to-treat population (ie, participants who received at least one dose of the study vaccine). As secondary outcomes, we evaluated clinical malaria incidences and serious adverse events. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02207816. FINDINGS: We enrolled 1739 older children (aged 5-7 years) and 1345 younger children (aged 3-5 years). During the 3-year extension, 66 severe malaria cases were reported, resulting in severe malaria incidence of 0·004 cases per person-years at risk (PPY; 95% CI 0-0·033) in the four-dose group, 0·007 PPY (0·001-0·052) in the three-dose group, and 0·009 PPY (0·001-0·066) in the control group in the older children category and a vaccine efficacy against severe malaria that did not contribute significantly to the overall efficacy (four-dose group 53·7% [95% CI -13·7 to 81·1], p=0·093; three-dose group 23·3% [-67·1 to 64·8], p=0·50). In younger children, severe malaria incidences were 0·007 PPY (0·001-0·058) in the four-dose group, 0·007 PPY (0·001-0·054) in the three-dose group, and 0·011 PPY (0·001-0·083) in the control group. Vaccine efficacy against severe malaria also did not contribute significantly to the overall efficacy (four-dose group 32·1% [-53·1 to 69·9], p=0·35; three-dose group 37·6% [-44·4 to 73·0], p=0·27). Malaria transmission was still occurring as evidenced by an incidence of clinical malaria ranging from 0·165 PPY to 3·124 PPY across all study groups and sites. In older children, clinical malaria incidence was 1·079 PPY (95% CI 0·152-7·662) in the four-dose group, 1·108 PPY (0·156-7·868) in the three-dose group, and 1·016 PPY (0·14-7·213) in the control group. In younger children, malaria incidence was 1·632 PPY (0·23-11·59), 1·563 PPY (0·22-11·104), and 1·686 PPY (0·237-11·974), respectively. In the older age category in Nanoro, clinical malaria incidence was higher in the four-dose (2·444 PPY; p=0·011) and three-dose (2·411 PPY; p=0·034) groups compared with the control group (1·998 PPY). Three cerebral malaria episodes and five meningitis cases, but no vaccine-related severe adverse events, were reported. INTERPRETATION: Overall, severe malaria incidence was low in all groups, with no evidence of rebound in RTS,S/AS01 recipients, despite an increased incidence of clinical malaria in older children who received RTS,S/AS01 compared with the comparator group in Nanoro. No safety signal was identified. FUNDING: GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals SA.

HIV virologic failure and its predictors among HIV-infected adults on antiretroviral therapy in the African Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: The 2016 WHO consolidated guidelines on the use of antiretroviral drugs defines HIV virologic failure for low and middle income countries (LMIC) as plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 1000 copies/mL. We evaluated virologic failure and predictors in four African countries. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We included HIV-infected participants on a WHO recommended antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimen and enrolled in the African Cohort Study between January 2013 and October 2017. Studied outcomes were virologic failure (plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 1000 copies/mL at the most recent visit), viraemia (plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 50 copies/mL at the most recent visit); and persistent viraemia (plasma HIV-RNA ≥ 50 copies/mL at two consecutive visits). Generalized linear models were used to estimate relative risks with their 95% confidence intervals. RESULTS: 2054 participants were included in this analysis. Viraemia, persistent viraemia and virologic failure were observed in 396 (19.3%), 160 (7.8%) and 184 (9%) participants respectively. Of the participants with persistent viraemia, only 57.5% (92/160) had confirmed virologic failure. In the multivariate analysis, attending clinical care site other than the Uganda sitebeing on 2nd line ART (aRR 1.8, 95% CI 1·28-2·66); other ART combinations not first line and not second line (aRR 3.8, 95% CI 1.18-11.9), a history of fever in the past week (aRR 3.7, 95% CI 1.69-8.05), low CD4 count (aRR 6.9, 95% CI 4.7-10.2) and missing any day of ART (aRR 1·8, 95% CI 1·27-2.57) increased the risk of virologic failure. Being on 2nd line therapy, the site where one receives care and CD4 count < 500 predicted viraemia, persistent viraemia and virologic failure. CONCLUSION: In conclusion, these findings demonstrate that HIV-infected patients established on ART for more than six months in the African setting frequently experienced viraemia while continuing to be on ART. The findings also show that being on second line, low CD4 count, missing any day of ART and history of fever in the past week remain important predictors of virologic failure that should trigger intensified adherence counselling especially in the absence of reliable or readily available viral load monitoring. Finally, clinical care sites are different calling for further analyses to elucidate on the unique features of these sites.